Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.083180 0.097736 0.114012 0.133549 0.156357 0.182137 0.213487
2025-12-14 0.059286 0.077262 0.099449 0.128811 0.166626 0.213669 0.276636
2025-12-21 0.046521 0.065745 0.091376 0.127977 0.178842 0.246985 0.345199
2025-12-28 0.039620 0.059881 0.088672 0.132445 0.197207 0.289399 0.430566
2026-01-04 0.034728 0.055635 0.087032 0.137425 0.216119 0.334149 0.524523
2026-01-11 0.030557 0.051579 0.084747 0.140630 0.232202 0.376086 0.619134
2026-01-18 0.026692 0.047268 0.081240 0.141072 0.243529 0.411485 0.707389
2026-01-25 0.022692 0.042033 0.075350 0.136513 0.245639 0.431730 0.772673
2026-02-01 0.019196 0.037098 0.069193 0.130459 0.244067 0.445109 0.827197
2026-02-08 0.016768 0.033722 0.065282 0.127771 0.247906 0.467982 0.900809
2026-02-15 0.014613 0.030529 0.061234 0.124192 0.249458 0.486601 0.968395
2026-02-22 0.013262 0.028720 0.059566 0.124921 0.259222 0.521435 1.070640
2026-03-01 0.011786 0.026542 0.057085 0.124149 0.266872 0.554995 1.178691
2026-03-08 0.010256 0.024017 0.053568 0.120806 0.268989 0.578256 1.270050
2026-03-15 0.009173 0.022304 0.051510 0.120271 0.276959 0.614535 1.393654
2026-03-22 0.008583 0.021626 0.051615 0.124535 0.296017 0.676689 1.581531
2026-03-29 0.008079 0.021067 0.051902 0.129238 0.316694 0.744950 1.792039
2026-04-05 0.007519 0.020272 0.051510 0.132259 0.333833 0.807359 1.997277
2026-04-12 0.006871 0.019145 0.050142 0.132677 0.344732 0.856649 2.177933
2026-04-19 0.006059 0.017445 0.047090 0.128384 0.343316 0.876412 2.289361
2026-04-26 0.005285 0.015715 0.043696 0.122684 0.337474 0.884545 2.372746
2026-05-03 0.004741 0.014542 0.041606 0.120153 0.339578 0.912831 2.511530
2026-05-10 0.004227 0.013369 0.039335 0.116784 0.338935 0.933940 2.634225